| The following Global Agricultural Information Network (GAIN) reports were released on Thursday, April 22, 2021.
Argentina: Grain and Feed Annual In marketing year 2021/22, wheat production is projected at a record 20.5 million tons with exports of 13.9 million tons (including wheat flour). Barley production is also forecast on an upward trend to 4.8 million tons on increased area with exports expected to rise to 3.2 million tons. Corn production is forecast at 50.0 million tons, the third largest crop in history, and exports are projected to grow to 35.0 million tons. Similarly sorghum area, production, and exports are forecast to rise with rice area and production showing positive growth trends as well.
Australia's sugar production is forecast to increase to 4.4 million metric tons (MMT) in marketing year (MY) 2021/22, from an estimated 4.335 MMT in MY 2020/21. This increase is due to an expected rise in sugar cane crush to 31.5 MMT in MY 2021/22, from an estimate of 31.1 MMT in the previous year. The increase is driven by anticipated improvements in sugar cane yield in the northern tropical regions of Queensland and in sub-tropical northern New South Wales. However, this is partially offset by expected decreases in sugar cane production area and yield in the sub-tropical southern Queensland region. Raw sugar exports are forecast to increase to 3.4 MMT in MY 2021/22 from the prior year estimate of 3.2 MMT, while refined sugar is expected to remain stable at 135,000 metric tons (MT).
In April 2021, Burma's rice exports are forecast to decline overall due to the long Burmese New Year Holidays and border gate closures between China and Burma to prevent the spread of COVID-19. Domestic prices for Emata 25 percent broken rice are forecast to decrease in late April accordingly and remain low until harvest time, while superior quality Shwe Bo Pawsan rice prices remain unchanged due to low demand by local consumers.
Costa Rica's sugar cane production is expected to decline about 1 percent in MY 2020/2021 to 4,057,000 MT. Sugar production is expected to decline 7.6 percent to 407,000 MT in MY 2020/2021 as compared to MY 2019/2020. Several factors affected production including lower sugar concentration and the negative effects of Hurricanes Eta and Iota in late 2020. Farm management issues and the slow process of renovation of the plantations also negatively impacted yields.
Post forecasts that sugar cane production in Eswatini (formerly Swaziland) will increase marginally by 1 percent to 6.1 million Metric Tons (MT) in the 2021/22 Marketing Year (MY), based on good rainfall, increased available irrigation water, normal weather conditions, growth in the area planted and consistent cane yields. Post forecasts that sugar production will increase marginally by 1 percent to 700,000 MT in the 2021/22 MY, based on an increase in sugar cane delivered to the sugar mills, better quality (sucrose content) of sugar cane, and improved sugar mill efficiencies (sugar recovery rate). Post expects that Eswatini will fully utilize its allocated United States Tariff Rate Quota in the 2021/22 MY and 2020/21 MY.
In marketing year 2021/2022, Guatemala is forecast to produce 2.70 million metric tons of sugar from sugarcane from a harvested area of 251,000 hectares, as sugar yields increase to 10.76 metric tons per hectare through the expansion from 52 to 60 percent of the area planted and to be harvested with improved sugar cane varieties. The estimate for marketing year 2020/2021 is revised down 6 percent to 2.62 million metric tons because of a marked La Niña Year, slight reduction in area, and lack of renovation of some 5-year-old plantations resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic impact on the economy. Domestic consumption for marketing year 2021/2022 is forecast at 921,000 MT and revised up 8 percent for marketing year 2020/2021.
Agriculture and food production in Serbia is the most important export sector, accounting for over 10 percent of the country's GDP and 20 percent of all exports. The Serbian market offers good opportunities for the U.S. exporters of the consumer-oriented agriculture products. In the period January-October 2020, the total U.S. exports of agriculture products to Serbia reached $18.67 million. The largest segments were starch, almonds, whisky bourbon, tobacco, pistachio, peanuts, vegetable planting seeds, juices and extracts from hops, sweet potato, dietetic foods, concentrated proteins, snack food, fish and sea products. This report provides the U.S. food and agriculture exporters with background information and suggestions for an entering the Serbian market. This report's statistical data was updated as of October 2020.
South Africa: Food Processing Ingredients South Africa's well-developed food processing sector has been under pressure since the March 2020 national lockdown due to COVID-19, which imposed many restrictions on the food industry. The sector, which serves as a gateway to Sub-Saharan African markets, has been impacted on multiple fronts including; labor shortages due to work stoppages, limited staff to observe social distancing, sporadic bans on alcohol sales, strict curfews, closures of land border posts, and a reduction in spending on restaurants and hotels. Despite the pandemic challenges, Stats SA reported that overall manufacturing production increased by 1.8 percent in December 2020 compared to December 2019, in which food and beverage processing contributed 6.4 percent.
For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/.
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